Friday, February 20, 2009

It could happen?

I am going to play Nostradamus here, the chance of another revolution has never been more real then now. I have done a great deal of reading both in terms of history but also other bloggers and I feel that the 2nd American Revolution will not be about the preservation of East Coast liberalism, as some self-serving right wing extreme scholars would have it. (Namely Glenn Beck) America was never less racist and homophobic than in the years immediately preceding the Clinton era. The debate, again, as it does now revolves around institutions. Should changing mores be enshrined in legislation and case law? Should the national ethos itself be rewritten? Should the very definition and quiddity of being an American (white, male, straight) be revisited? There is alot of Neo-Marxist bloggers (chroniclers to most) that attribute the case for the need of an Second American Revolution to the growing disparities of wealth between the haves and the haves not. Presidents Bush and Cheney surely reversed L.B. Johnson's Great Society. They and their party loyalists have erased or in the process of erasing the numerous entitlements and aid programs that many of the economically disenfranchised came to depend upon and to regard as a birth right and as a cornerstone of the social contract. Turning the clock back on affirmative action and food stamps, for instance, indeed provoked widespread anger. But such outbursts can hardly be construed to have been the precursors of the gigantic flame that could come about and consume the USA in the not too distant future.

Finally, the 2nd American revolution will not be about free trade (beneficial to the service and manufacturing based economies of some states) versus protectionism (helpful to the agricultural belts and bowls of the hinterland and to the recovering Gulf Coast). America's economy was far too dependent on the outside world to reverse course. Its national debt was being financed by Asians, its products were being sold all over, its commodities and foods were coming from Africa and Latin America. The USA was in hock to a globalized and merciless economy. Protectionism was campaign posturing - not a cogent and coherent trade policy. So, the real roots and causes of the Second American revolution?

None of the above in isolation - and all of the above in confluence. For decades, the citizenry's trust in a packed and rigged Supreme Court declined. Politicians (Democrats and Republicans) came to be regarded as a detached and heartless plutocracy. Americans feel orphaned, cheated, and robbed. The national consensus - the implicit agreement that together is better than alone - has thus evaporated. The outcome will be shots and explosions that will rock the United States (and the world in tow).

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